Ahead of Saturday’s Assembly recall, Tara O’Neill looks ahead to how tomorrow’s events might unfold.
The political version of a sitcom that got stuck in a re-run loop; this Saturday’s Assembly recall is set to mark the highly anticipated season premiere.
As the curtains rise on Stormont’s return, the question on everyone’s lips is who will take the leading roles and grace the Executive stage?
In the opening scenes, the Speaker of the Assembly will be nominated by other MLAs. This role has been tipped for none other than Edwin Poots MLA, former DUP Leader. Pasty McGlone MLA and Mike Nesbitt MLA are other considerable contenders, having both been nominated for the role of Speaker at the most recent Assembly recall in January. In a delicate dance of power sharing, it is possible that both Patsy McGlone and Mike Nesbitt could share the role as Deputy Speaker.
Following the selection of the Business Committee is the nomination of First and Deputy First Minister. It is certain that Michelle O’Neill MLA will take on the role of First Minister, with Emma Little-Pengelly MLA as the current frontrunner to take on the role of deputy First Minister. In a break from typecasting, a nationalist First Minister and unionist Deputy First Minister will produce a dynamic the likes of which has never graced our screens before.
Forming the official opposition is the SDLP, with Matthew O’Toole MLA assuming the mantle of Leader of the Opposition.
In supporting roles, we might see MLAs like Caoimhe Archibald or Linda Dillon step in to become Junior Sinn Féin Minister, with Jonathan Buckley MLA perhaps assuming the Junior Ministerial role for the DUP.
What comes next will undoubtedly set the storyline for the next three-and-a-half-year mandate.
With first pick of the ministerial positions, it is no secret that Sinn Féin have been eyeing up the Economy role, with political heavyweight Conor Murphy MLA the favourite to take this seat.
In a swap with Sinn Féin, the DUP will likely assume the Finance ministerial position, with Gordon Lyons MLA being predicted as the most likely candidate.
In a toss-up between Sinn Féin and the DUP, either party could make a bold move and seize the least popular ministerial post, Health. With former First Minister Paul Givan MLA and Linda Dillon MLA as likely candidates, the Health ministerial post will be one to watch.
The UUP are understood to be taking the Education seat, with Robbie Butler MLA, deputy party leader and education spokesperson, heavily tipped for the role.
The Department for Communities is likely to be a Sinn Féin sure start, but will Deidre Hargey MLA resume her previous role, or will the party put forward a new candidate like Áine Murphy MLA? As for Infrastructure, this post will go to either Sinn Féin or Alliance, with Andrew Muir MLA waiting in the wings to assume this position.
The DAERA Minister is also dependent upon whether Sinn Féin or Alliance take the role of Infrastructure Minister.
Lying outside of the realm of the d’Hondt formula is the Justice seat. Will breakout star Alliance take centre stage by nominating party leader Naomi Long MLA, or will former Justice Minister Claire Sugden MLA resume her role in the Executive ensemble? With the potential for a plot twist, this selection could rejig the running order and the number of seats allocated to each party.
Grab your remote, adjust your political antenna, and get ready for the return of the Assembly. If this week’s events are anything to go by, it will be a performance worth watching.
By Tara O’Neill, Client Executive at Brown O’Connor Communications